Reliable estimation of crop yield is vital for refining farming operations and guaranteeing food supply. This investigation tested the capacity of machine learning techniques to estimate tomato yield using meteorological measurements, spectral reflectance bands, and vegetation indices subjected to different nitrogen levels and bio-stimulant applications to generate variation in crop development. UAV-mounted sensors captured spectral information across seven acquisition dates spanning October 27 to December 15, 2023, matching critical developmental windows: vegetative establishment (acquisition 1), anthesis (acquisitions 2 and 3), fruit set and enlargement (acquisitions 4, 5, and 6), and initial maturation (acquisition 7). Discriminating explanatory variables were selected via the Pearson correlation metric (r > 0.65, P < 0.05), incorporating Near Infrared (NIR), Red Edge, and Red wavebands, together with vegetation indices comprising NDVI, GNDVI, NDRE, and SAVI. Remotely sensed canopy signatures gathered throughout the fruit set and enlargement window (acquisitions 5 and 6) displayed the tightest association with harvested yield (r = 0.66–0.74), reinforcing the necessity of spectral intelligence from the middle to latter parts of the cycle. When comparing predictive algorithms, both linear regression (LR) and XGBoost yielded the strongest predictive skill, producing root mean squared error (RMSE) figures of 16.13 kg and 16.15 kg, respectively, matched with R² values reaching 0.63. Support vector machine (SVM) and decision tree (DT) implementations also delivered competent outcomes, achieving RMSE scores of 17.15 kg and 17.18 kg, respectively. By comparison, the deep learning architecture lagged notably (RMSE = 23.49 kg, R² = 0.23), plausibly attributable to data scarcity. This research spotlights the prognostic capability inherent in spectral wavebands and underscores the centrality of growth-stage-aligned spectral acquisition for yield forecasting.
The quantification of actual evapotranspiration (ETₐ) is fundamental to sound water resource governance, yet current estimation methods pose significant constraints. Established methodologies, among them eddy covariance and energy balance computations reliant on remote sensing, are frequently beset by prohibitive costs, patchy spatial and temporal coverage, and deteriorating forecast fidelity, particularly for older empirical constructs. Although machine learning has emerged as a viable solution, it is not without drawbacks, especially a systematic bias toward low ETₐ predictions during high-temperature episodes. We trace this deficiency to inadequate model training on the scarce but critically significant extreme ETₐ values, paired with meteorological datasets that are limited rather than massive. Within this paper, we illustrate how few-shot, meta-learning frameworks (MAML), purpose-built to deliver superior generalization when data are constrained, can eclipse elementary machine learning formulations in the upscaling of ETₐ originating from two major in-situ observation networks, namely Ameriflux and Euroflux. Working with a sparse set of remotely sensed land surface variables sourced from the METRIC-EEFlux system alongside a narrow suite of climatic drivers, we establish that the selected models yield measurable benefits when assessed under the utility-based regression philosophy, guiding meaningful real-world decisions. Our preliminary findings show that EEflux ETₐ strays markedly from in-situ tower readings from the Ameriflux and EEflux installations (R² = 39%). By comparison, MAML attains the strongest alignment with ETₐ, outperforming both elementary machine learning architectures and EEFlux (R² = 71% on the full test corpus, R² = 0.88 under the Csa climate class, R² = 0.79 under the Cfa climate class, and R² = 0.78 for the CSH vegetation category), and steadily improves without succumbing to overfitting even when trained on a comparatively modest data pool. Its elevated F2 score (96%) indicates that MAML maintains high precision and recall for atypical instances, a feature of considerable consequence for irrigation scheduling. As a noteworthy result in its own right, this investigation corroborates that even a sparse set of remotely sensed EEflux outputs contributes materially to understanding ground-referenced ETₐ and can thus serve a valuable role in environments where the procurement of abundant, high-quality data is limited.
Artificial intelligence is increasingly positioned as a transformative force for climate-smart agriculture, promising simultaneous gains in productivity, efficiency, and sustainability. Across agricultural policy, innovation systems, and digital farming markets, AI is presented as a solution to climate uncertainty, resource scarcity, labour pressures, and food-security demands. This review examines that promise through a critical lens. The dominant narrative surrounding AI-enabled climate-smart agriculture often treats optimization as a neutral technical process. Yet algorithmic systems do not merely improve farming decisions; they also define what counts as efficiency, which outcomes are prioritised, and whose knowledge becomes authoritative. This raises important questions about power, agency, and sustainability. The objective of this critical review is to interrogate the politics of AI in climate-smart agriculture. It synthesises evidence on the tensions between productivity, efficiency, sustainability, farmer agency, data sovereignty, and governance. The review asks how algorithmic optimization reshapes agricultural futures and who benefits from this transformation. The review draws on peer-reviewed articles published across agricultural innovation, sustainability science, digital agriculture, artificial intelligence, and critical data studies. Rather than reporting new empirical data, it develops a critical synthesis of existing debates and identifies conceptual gaps in current scholarship. The review finds that algorithmic farming is not simply a technical evolution of precision agriculture. It is a contested political terrain in which sustainability goals, commercial interests, data infrastructures, and farmer autonomy are negotiated. A critical research agenda is needed to ensure that AI contributes to equitable, democratic, and ecologically resilient agricultural futures.
Climate stress is reshaping the operational conditions under which agricultural decisions are made. Drought, heat, flooding, salinity, and increasingly variable weather patterns intensify uncertainty around irrigation, fertilisation, pest management, crop selection, and yield planning. Precision agriculture has therefore become a central domain in which artificial intelligence is expected to support adaptive, data-driven decision-making. This systematic review examines how artificial intelligence decision models are used in precision agriculture under climate stress. The review focuses on three connected dimensions: the model families used to support decisions, the data sources on which these models depend, and the sustainability outcomes that are reported. The objective is to clarify whether current evidence supports the claim that artificial intelligence can deliver more resilient and sustainable agricultural management. The review synthesises peer-reviewed journal articles published. The study selection followed a PRISMA-oriented logic, using predefined search strings, inclusion criteria, and screening stages to identify relevant work on machine learning, deep learning, remote sensing, sensor-based agriculture, irrigation optimisation, yield prediction, crop disease detection, and sustainability assessment. No new empirical field data were generated. The evidence base shows rapid expansion in machine learning and deep learning applications, especially for yield prediction, irrigation management, crop monitoring, plant disease detection, and smart farming decision support. Satellite imagery, UAV data, IoT sensors, weather variables, soil information, and farm-management records appear as the dominant data sources. However, the review also identifies uneven attention to climate stress conditions, limited integration of long-term climate projections, and inconsistent reporting of sustainability outcomes.The review concludes that artificial intelligence for precision agriculture under climate stress is technically promising but methodologically fragmented. Most studies emphasise model accuracy, yield improvement, or input optimisation, while fewer evaluate environmental trade-offs, social impacts, farmer livelihoods, or long-term resilience. A more rigorous, transparent, and sustainability-centred research agenda is needed to move the field beyond predictive performance toward climate-resilient agricultural decision systems.
Artificial intelligence is increasingly presented as a transformative force in agriculture, promising more precise decisions, better resource use, improved productivity, and more resilient farming systems. Yet much of this promise has been shaped around large-scale, capital-intensive, data-rich farms in high-income settings. This creates a structural mismatch between dominant agricultural AI imaginaries and the everyday realities of smallholder farming. Smallholder farmers operate under conditions that are often treated as barriers to technological adoption rather than as core design conditions. Limited connectivity, intermittent electricity, restricted access to smartphones, low disposable income, linguistic diversity, and uneven access to advisory support all shape how digital tools are encountered and used. When these realities are ignored, agricultural AI risks widening rather than narrowing existing inequalities. This article develops a Smallholder-Centred AI Model for agriculture. The model reorients agricultural AI around four foundational principles: low-resource design, inclusion and affordability, context-awareness, and farmer participation. It argues that these principles must not be added after technical development but must structure the design, governance, and evaluation of AI from the beginning. The article concludes that AI can serve smallholder agriculture only when smallholders are positioned as active participants in the intelligence of the system. A smallholder-centred approach requires technologies that work with limited infrastructure, respond to local agroecological and social contexts, respect farmer knowledge, and remain affordable and accountable. The future of agricultural AI must therefore be judged not only by predictive accuracy but by its capacity to support inclusive, locally grounded, and farmer-led transformation.
Explainable artificial intelligence is becoming central to precision agriculture because farm-management decisions increasingly depend on algorithmic recommendations generated from sensor, remote-sensing, weather, soil, crop, and machinery data. However, technical performance alone does not make agricultural AI trustworthy. A recommendation may be statistically accurate yet remain unusable if farmers cannot understand why it was produced, how uncertain it is, whether it fits local conditions, or how it can be questioned. This article develops a farmer-centered approach to explainable AI for precision agriculture. It argues that explainability must connect model logic with farmer interpretation, contextual judgment, decision confidence, contestability, accountability, and feedback learning. The proposed perspective treats farmers not as passive recipients of algorithmic advice but as active interpreters, evaluators, and co-decision-makers within human-in-the-loop agricultural systems. By reframing explainable AI as a socio-technical decision-support requirement, the article contributes a foundation for trustworthy algorithmic decision support that is understandable, usable, context-sensitive, and accountable in real farm-management conditions.