Search

Artificial intelligence is increasingly presented as a transformative force in agriculture, promising more precise decisions, better resource use, improved productivity, and more resilient farming systems. Yet much of this promise has been shaped around large-scale, capital-intensive, data-rich farms in high-income settings. This creates a structural mismatch between dominant agricultural AI imaginaries and the everyday realities of smallholder farming. Smallholder farmers operate under conditions that are often treated as barriers to technological adoption rather than as core design conditions. Limited connectivity, intermittent electricity, restricted access to smartphones, low disposable income, linguistic diversity, and uneven access to advisory support all shape how digital tools are encountered and used. When these realities are ignored, agricultural AI risks widening rather than narrowing existing inequalities. This article develops a Smallholder-Centred AI Model for agriculture. The model reorients agricultural AI around four foundational principles: low-resource design, inclusion and affordability, context-awareness, and farmer participation. It argues that these principles must not be added after technical development but must structure the design, governance, and evaluation of AI from the beginning. The article concludes that AI can serve smallholder agriculture only when smallholders are positioned as active participants in the intelligence of the system. A smallholder-centred approach requires technologies that work with limited infrastructure, respond to local agroecological and social contexts, respect farmer knowledge, and remain affordable and accountable. The future of agricultural AI must therefore be judged not only by predictive accuracy but by its capacity to support inclusive, locally grounded, and farmer-led transformation.

Artificial intelligence is increasingly positioned as a driver of agri-food transformation through sensing, prediction, optimisation, automation, and decision support. Across farms, supply chains, advisory systems, and governance settings, AI-enabled tools are changing how agricultural information is gathered, interpreted, and translated into action. These changes create important opportunities, but they also raise deeper theoretical questions about what kind of intelligence agri-food systems should develop. Much discussion of agri-food AI emphasises productivity, efficiency, technical accuracy, and optimisation. Yet sustainable agri-food transformation cannot be judged only by whether AI increases yields, lowers costs, or accelerates decisions. It must also be evaluated by whether intelligent systems strengthen resilience, support equity, and respect ecological limits. This article develops a theory of sustainable intelligence in agri-food systems. Sustainable intelligence is defined as the AI-enabled capacity of agri-food systems to sense, interpret, learn from, and respond to changing conditions while balancing productivity, resilience, equity, and ecological care. The theory treats these four dimensions not as separate goals, but as interdependent constructs that must be continuously aligned. The article builds theory by integrating scholarship on digital agriculture, food-system sustainability, resilience thinking, equity, ecological responsibility, and responsible AI. It focuses on the mechanisms through which sensing, prediction, optimisation, feedback, participation, and governance can either mediate or intensify tensions among agri-food system goals. In doing so, it shifts attention from AI as a technical instrument to AI as a socio-technical balancing capacity. The proposed theory explains sustainable intelligence as an emergent property of data integration, adaptive feedback, participatory governance, ecological sensitivity, and accountability. It argues that AI-enabled agri-food systems become sustainable not when they maximise a single performance metric, but when they help actors recognise trade-offs, negotiate priorities, and preserve the conditions for just and ecologically responsible production. Sustainable intelligence therefore offers a theoretical foundation for agri-food futures that are productive, resilient, equitable, and ecologically caring.

Food security early warning systems increasingly draw on artificial intelligence, remote sensing, predictive analytics, climate information, crop monitoring, market indicators, and vulnerability data to identify emerging risks before they become severe crises. These systems are expected to provide timely signals about threats to food availability, access, utilisation, and stability across diverse ecological, economic, and social settings. Yet many early warning approaches remain fragmented. Climate risk, market instability, crop stress, and human vulnerability are often analysed in separate technical workflows, which can weaken interpretation, delay action, or produce alerts that are insufficiently linked to response capacity. This article develops a conceptual architecture for AI-enabled food security early warning systems. The architecture treats early warning as a layered process that connects data ingestion, risk-domain analytics, signal integration, uncertainty interpretation, alert generation, decision support, response targeting, and feedback governance. The proposed architecture explains how multi-source data and predictive models can be translated into interpretable and actionable food security warnings. It also emphasises that AI-enabled early warning can fail when data are incomplete, model outputs are opaque, vulnerable populations are underrepresented, or alerts are disconnected from institutions capable of acting.

Intelligent agriculture increasingly uses artificial intelligence, sensors, remote sensing, automation, modelling, and decision-support systems to monitor and manage agricultural production. These tools can strengthen observation, prediction, and coordination across farms and landscapes. Yet their contribution to agricultural transformation depends on the ecological aims toward which they are designed and governed. Regenerative agriculture requires more than improved efficiency or narrower optimisation of inputs. It calls for soil restoration, biodiversity protection, ecological feedback, and long-term system health. Intelligent systems therefore need to be evaluated not only by productivity gains, but also by their capacity to support ecological recovery. This article develops a conceptual framework for regenerative intelligence in agriculture. Regenerative intelligence is defined as the AI-supported capacity of agricultural systems to monitor, interpret, and support soil restoration, biodiversity protection, and long-term system health through adaptive and ecologically accountable decision pathways. The framework explains how sensing, ecological analytics, modelling, decision support, monitoring, feedback, and governance can contribute to regenerative agricultural transformation. It also clarifies that AI-supported agriculture is not automatically regenerative. Its regenerative value depends on ecological indicators, farmer participation, responsible governance, biodiversity sensitivity, soil-health interpretation, and sustained learning from ecological outcomes.

Agri-food systems increasingly operate under compound crises in which climate shocks, supply disruptions, market instability, ecological stress, and social vulnerability interact. These crises do not affect production, distribution, livelihoods, and food access in isolation. They move through connected risk pathways that can destabilise farms, supply chains, public institutions, and households at the same time. Artificial intelligence can support prediction, monitoring, early warning, and decision support in these contexts. However, technical forecasting alone does not constitute resilience when risks cascade across multiple domains. Agri-food resilience requires that predictive information be translated into adaptive decisions, coordinated response, and food security protection. This article develops a conceptual model of AI-supported agri-food resilience under compound crises. The model links climate shocks, supply disruptions, farmer adaptation, and food security governance as interacting domains. It treats AI as a decision-support function embedded within social, institutional, ecological, and market systems rather than as a stand-alone technological solution. The model identifies resilience mechanisms that connect risk detection, signal integration, uncertainty communication, adaptive decision support, institutional coordination, feedback learning, and accountability. It also clarifies boundary conditions that determine whether AI strengthens or weakens resilience. These include data quality, interpretability, local relevance, farmer participation, institutional response capacity, equity, and governance accountability. The article contributes a structured conceptual model for understanding how AI can support agri-food resilience when analytics are aligned with adaptation needs and food security objectives. It argues that resilient agri-food AI systems must connect prediction with human judgement, local knowledge, public action, and accountable coordination. The proposed model offers a basis for future empirical testing, policy design, and responsible innovation in crisis-sensitive food systems.

Explainable artificial intelligence is becoming central to precision agriculture because farm-management decisions increasingly depend on algorithmic recommendations generated from sensor, remote-sensing, weather, soil, crop, and machinery data. However, technical performance alone does not make agricultural AI trustworthy. A recommendation may be statistically accurate yet remain unusable if farmers cannot understand why it was produced, how uncertain it is, whether it fits local conditions, or how it can be questioned. This article develops a farmer-centered approach to explainable AI for precision agriculture. It argues that explainability must connect model logic with farmer interpretation, contextual judgment, decision confidence, contestability, accountability, and feedback learning. The proposed perspective treats farmers not as passive recipients of algorithmic advice but as active interpreters, evaluators, and co-decision-makers within human-in-the-loop agricultural systems. By reframing explainable AI as a socio-technical decision-support requirement, the article contributes a foundation for trustworthy algorithmic decision support that is understandable, usable, context-sensitive, and accountable in real farm-management conditions.