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Optimizing Greenhouse Irrigation through Data-Driven Model Predictive Control and CO2 Enrichment
Interest in sustainable farming approaches has surged, especially within hyper-arid environments where acute water shortages make food security a pressing priority. This increased focus arises from the goal of agricultural independence in light of geopolitical volatility, rising population numbers, climate disruption, and the drive to decrease reliance on imported food. The present work investigates novel, data-centric methods specifically engineered for agriculture under such demanding circumstances, concentrating on the exploitation of CO₂ enrichment to amplify resource efficiency by accelerating plant development and fine-tuning input application within closed greenhouse structures. Within this study, a data-driven model predictive control (MPC) system is deployed in a greenhouse context to refine irrigation timing. The primary emphasis lies in harnessing the capability of an extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model to project real-time transpiration fluxes, accounting for the complex interdependencies between microclimatic variables and physiological shifts that influence transpiration. The XGBoost framework is designed to ingest microclimate observations—namely solar radiation, internal air temperature, internal relative humidity, and internal CO₂ molar fraction—as well as vegetation indices extracted from hyperspectral reflectance measurements, including NDVI, WBI, and PRI, all serving as forecasting inputs. The predictive model achieved strong fidelity, registering an R² of 97.1% alongside an RMSE of 0.417 mmol/m²/s for transpiration rate estimation. The trained XGBoost is subsequently embedded into the MPC scheme to steer irrigation delivery while upholding target soil water status. This integrated controller is then applied to govern watering tactics across two differing CO₂ supplementation settings: 400 ppm and 1000 ppm. Outcomes from this work reveal that the MPC-driven irrigation regime yields a 42.2% reduction in water use across a one-week forecast horizon when contrasted with the baseline irrigation protocol, irrespective of CO₂ level. Moreover, operating the MPC controller under the distinct CO₂ regimes shows a 34% decrease in water consumption at the 1000 ppm enrichment level relative to the 400 ppm condition. These findings highlight the value of MPC within enclosed greenhouse facilities, stressing the gains offered by advanced predictive analytics, multi-source data fusion, and continuous receding-horizon optimization for realizing superior irrigation regulation. The work equally accentuates the role of CO₂ fertilization in sealed agricultural greenhouses—particularly in zones subject to intense solar irradiance—as a potent measure for curbing water expenditure.
Journal of Intelligent Agriculture and Food Systems
Review | Open access | 15 March 2023 | Article: 63

Meta-Learning and Utility-Based Regression for Accurate Actual Evapotranspiration Estimation: Insights from Ameriflux and Euroflux Sites
The quantification of actual evapotranspiration (ETₐ) is fundamental to sound water resource governance, yet current estimation methods pose significant constraints. Established methodologies, among them eddy covariance and energy balance computations reliant on remote sensing, are frequently beset by prohibitive costs, patchy spatial and temporal coverage, and deteriorating forecast fidelity, particularly for older empirical constructs. Although machine learning has emerged as a viable solution, it is not without drawbacks, especially a systematic bias toward low ETₐ predictions during high-temperature episodes. We trace this deficiency to inadequate model training on the scarce but critically significant extreme ETₐ values, paired with meteorological datasets that are limited rather than massive. Within this paper, we illustrate how few-shot, meta-learning frameworks (MAML), purpose-built to deliver superior generalization when data are constrained, can eclipse elementary machine learning formulations in the upscaling of ETₐ originating from two major in-situ observation networks, namely Ameriflux and Euroflux. Working with a sparse set of remotely sensed land surface variables sourced from the METRIC-EEFlux system alongside a narrow suite of climatic drivers, we establish that the selected models yield measurable benefits when assessed under the utility-based regression philosophy, guiding meaningful real-world decisions. Our preliminary findings show that EEflux ETₐ strays markedly from in-situ tower readings from the Ameriflux and EEflux installations (R² = 39%). By comparison, MAML attains the strongest alignment with ETₐ, outperforming both elementary machine learning architectures and EEFlux (R² = 71% on the full test corpus, R² = 0.88 under the Csa climate class, R² = 0.79 under the Cfa climate class, and R² = 0.78 for the CSH vegetation category), and steadily improves without succumbing to overfitting even when trained on a comparatively modest data pool. Its elevated F2 score (96%) indicates that MAML maintains high precision and recall for atypical instances, a feature of considerable consequence for irrigation scheduling. As a noteworthy result in its own right, this investigation corroborates that even a sparse set of remotely sensed EEflux outputs contributes materially to understanding ground-referenced ETₐ and can thus serve a valuable role in environments where the procurement of abundant, high-quality data is limited.
Journal of Intelligent Agriculture and Food Systems
Original Research | Open access | 15 September 2023 | Article: 79

Deep Learning Approaches for Temperature-Driven Estimation of Reference Evapotranspiration
Properly managing water application in urban plantings is essential throughout arid and semi-arid regions and depends upon consistently accurate calculations of reference evapotranspiration (ETo). The meteorological observations obtainable in city landscapes, however, are rarely sufficient to apply the standard Penman-Monteith methodology for ETo derivation. Intelligent landscape irrigation controllers thus often rely on temperature-driven ETo approximations to automate watering schedules. The present study is directed at crafting deep learning temperature-based ETo predictors and contrasting their accuracy against two widely adopted empirical temperature-based formulas, specifically the FAO Blaney and Criddle (BC) and Hargreaves and Samani (HS). A complementary, freely available, and intuitive software utility, DeepET, was also developed based on the highest-performing deep learning predictors produced in this work. Four classes of artificial neural network (ANN) predictors were assembled, one group operating on raw weather observations and a second group utilizing wavelet-transformed reconstructed signals as input features. Additionally, long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (NN) and one-dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) predictors were built. The dataset underpinning this work was sourced from 101 operational California Irrigation Management Information System (CIMIS) weather stations, yielding more than 725,000 data points spanning 1985-2019. All predictors were benchmarked against the officially reported CIMIS ETo. When tested on previously unseen station records, the temperature-fed DL (Deep Learning) predictors yielded mean absolute errors that were 15%–20% lower than those from the locally calibrated HS equation. Feeding reconstructed wavelet-transform signals into the ANN predictors did not yield any measurable gain. Our findings suggest that DL-based predictors constitute a compelling approach to improving ETo accuracy in urban settings when only temperature readings are available. The DeepET utility is reachable from the Haghverdi Water Management Group portal: http://www. ucrwater.com/software-and-tools.html.
Journal of Intelligent Agriculture and Food Systems
Original Research | Open access | 15 March 2025 | Article: 113