The increasing menace of climate change constitutes a profound obstacle for contemporary farming, carrying grave implications for worldwide food availability. The effect of altering climatic parameters on agricultural output, particularly for essential staple commodities, fuels worry regarding prospective harvests. This investigation explores the likely repercussions of climate change on cotton cultivation by merging archival climate records, Global Climate Model (GCMs, CMIP3) forecasts, and cotton production statistics. A broad spectrum of machine learning (ML) methodologies is applied, including multiple regression, k-nearest neighbors (KNN), boosted tree techniques, and several variants of artificial neural networks (ANNs), to delve into the intricate linkage between climatic drivers and cotton productivity. The models are built and verified using climatic and crop output data obtained from three districts within Punjab, Pakistan, across the timeframe 1991 to 2020. To anticipate future production outcomes, climatic projections from General Circulation Models (GCMs) are refined via downscaling under the SRA1B, A2, and B1 emission trajectories, facilitating outlooks extending to 2050. The outcomes reveal that precipitation exerts a trivial influence on cotton output (R = 0.0002), while peak temperature (R = -0.183) stands out as the foremost climatic determinant shaping yield, trailed by lowest temperature (R = 0.248). Of the tested architectures, the generalized feedforward (GFF) network delivered the optimal results (R = 0.960, MSE = 0.110, NMSE = 0.187, MAE = 0.269), exceeding the performance of the probabilistic neural network (PNN), KNN, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and boosted trees. By comparison, linear regression (LR) and multiple regression formulations registered weaker predictive power. The trustworthiness of GFF and KNN for generating yield projections (R² = 0.892, 0.861) endorses their suitability for reliable forecasting. The study calculates a 4.5% contraction in cotton harvest by 2050, measured against the peak recorded yield for the locality, stressing the footprint of climate change on cotton farming and its latent hazard to food supply. Nonetheless, the flexible strength of the ANN (GFF) frameworks under varying climate storylines delivers auspicious means for weaving ML into climate-adaptive cultivation regimes, advancing durable agrarian safety and curbing the detrimental fallout of climate shifts on nutrition provision.
Reliable estimation of crop yield is vital for refining farming operations and guaranteeing food supply. This investigation tested the capacity of machine learning techniques to estimate tomato yield using meteorological measurements, spectral reflectance bands, and vegetation indices subjected to different nitrogen levels and bio-stimulant applications to generate variation in crop development. UAV-mounted sensors captured spectral information across seven acquisition dates spanning October 27 to December 15, 2023, matching critical developmental windows: vegetative establishment (acquisition 1), anthesis (acquisitions 2 and 3), fruit set and enlargement (acquisitions 4, 5, and 6), and initial maturation (acquisition 7). Discriminating explanatory variables were selected via the Pearson correlation metric (r > 0.65, P < 0.05), incorporating Near Infrared (NIR), Red Edge, and Red wavebands, together with vegetation indices comprising NDVI, GNDVI, NDRE, and SAVI. Remotely sensed canopy signatures gathered throughout the fruit set and enlargement window (acquisitions 5 and 6) displayed the tightest association with harvested yield (r = 0.66–0.74), reinforcing the necessity of spectral intelligence from the middle to latter parts of the cycle. When comparing predictive algorithms, both linear regression (LR) and XGBoost yielded the strongest predictive skill, producing root mean squared error (RMSE) figures of 16.13 kg and 16.15 kg, respectively, matched with R² values reaching 0.63. Support vector machine (SVM) and decision tree (DT) implementations also delivered competent outcomes, achieving RMSE scores of 17.15 kg and 17.18 kg, respectively. By comparison, the deep learning architecture lagged notably (RMSE = 23.49 kg, R² = 0.23), plausibly attributable to data scarcity. This research spotlights the prognostic capability inherent in spectral wavebands and underscores the centrality of growth-stage-aligned spectral acquisition for yield forecasting.
Machine learning is increasingly applied across agri-food systems to support prediction, classification, optimisation, monitoring, and decision-making. These applications now extend from farm-level production to processing, logistics, consumption, and food-waste management. As data-intensive agriculture expands, machine learning is often presented as an enabling technology for sustainable agri-food transitions. Despite this promise, the sustainability evidence base remains fragmented. Many studies report improvements in model accuracy, prediction performance, or operational decision support, but they do not always specify how these technical gains translate into environmental, economic, or social outcomes. This creates uncertainty about whether machine learning contributes to sustainability transitions directly, indirectly, or only under particular implementation conditions. This systematic review examines how machine learning contributes to sustainable agri-food transitions through environmental, economic, and social impact pathways. It focuses on the relationship between machine learning methods, agri-food applications, and sustainability-relevant outcomes rather than treating model performance as an end in itself. The review asks where evidence is strongest, where it remains indirect, and how different pathways vary across production, processing, distribution, consumption, waste reduction, and governance. The review finds that environmental and economic pathways are more developed than social and equity pathways. Evidence is strongest where machine learning supports precision input management, yield forecasting, irrigation decision support, operational efficiency, supply-chain analytics, and food-waste reduction. However, stronger longitudinal evaluation, causal assessment, life-cycle integration, participatory design, and equity-sensitive governance are needed before machine learning can be judged as a reliable driver of sustainable agri-food transitions.
Remote sensing and machine learning have become prominent components of smart farming research, generating an expanding body of review literature across agricultural monitoring and prediction applications. This umbrella review synthesises review-level evidence concerning crop monitoring, disease detection, yield forecasting, and decision support while examining the methodological conditions that shape evidence strength and transferability. Peer-reviewed systematic reviews, scoping reviews, structured reviews, surveys, meta-reviews, and other eligible review-level articles were identified through searches of major academic databases and publisher platforms. Evidence was organised by application domain, sensing modality, analytical method, validation design, generalisation, uncertainty, reproducibility, and decision-support relevance. Crop-monitoring reviews describe extensive use of satellite, unmanned aerial vehicle, multispectral, hyperspectral, thermal, and multimodal data for crop mapping, growth assessment, phenotyping, stress monitoring, and related applications. Disease-detection reviews report rapid expansion of image-based machine learning and deep learning, but repeatedly identify data scarcity, class imbalance, curated-image dependence, and limited cross-context validation. Yield-forecasting reviews identify recurring integration of remote sensing, weather, soil, crop-model, and management information, although forecast horizons, spatial and temporal validation, uncertainty communication, and decision relevance remain inconsistent. Across domains, reported technical promise is moderated by heterogeneous datasets, benchmark inconsistency, review overlap, incomplete reproducibility, and limited evidence of transfer across crops, regions, seasons, and acquisition conditions. Review-level evidence supports a substantial research opportunity for remote sensing and machine learning in smart farming, but it does not independently establish field readiness, diagnostic reliability, operational forecasting performance, or deployment readiness. Stronger review reporting, external validation, transparent benchmarking, uncertainty assessment, reproducible workflows, and responsible decision-support evaluation are required.