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Predictive Food Systems: A Conceptual Model Linking Demand Forecasting, Waste Reduction, Cold-Chain Intelligence, and Sustainability Performance
Food supply chains face growing pressure to reduce waste, protect product quality, and improve sustainability performance. Yet many supply chain decisions remain reactive, even though food products are perishable, demand is volatile, and quality deterioration often begins before problems become visible. This article proposes that food systems require a more integrated predictive orientation rather than isolated technological improvements. The central problem is that demand forecasting, waste analytics, cold-chain monitoring, and sustainability assessment are often developed as separate capabilities. When these tools remain disconnected, prediction does not necessarily translate into coordinated action or measurable environmental improvement. The absence of an integrated model limits the ability of food supply chains to anticipate waste, preserve quality, and learn from sustainability outcomes. The objective of this article is to propose a conceptual model of Predictive Food Systems. The model connects demand forecasting, waste reduction and inventory intelligence, cold-chain intelligence, and sustainability performance within a closed-loop architecture. It argues that predictive value emerges when data from each component continuously inform decisions across the whole system. The article is based on a conceptual synthesis of 26 peer-reviewed journal articles published between 2017 and 2025. These studies cover food logistics, artificial intelligence, demand forecasting, dynamic inventory management, cold-chain monitoring, food waste accounting, and sustainability assessment. The article does not report new empirical data but uses existing evidence to construct an original systems-oriented framework. The proposed model specifies how demand prediction can reduce overproduction, how inventory intelligence can redirect or discount perishable stock, how cold-chain intelligence can preserve shelf-life, and how sustainability metrics can feed back into predictive systems. Three tables organise the model’s forecasting approaches, cold-chain technologies, and integrated components. The article concludes that predictive food systems can become a practical pathway for reducing waste, improving quality, and advancing sustainability performance.
Journal of Intelligent Agriculture and Food Systems
Original Research | Open access | 15 March 2025 | Article: 20

Intelligent Food Recall Systems: A Conceptual Model for Early Detection, Network Propagation Mapping, and Coordinated Response
Food recalls remain essential instruments for protecting public health when unsafe, contaminated, mislabelled, or otherwise non-compliant products enter food supply chains. Yet many recall systems still operate primarily as downstream corrective mechanisms after hazards have already moved through production, distribution, retail, food service, or household channels. This reactive orientation can delay containment, increase exposure, and weaken public confidence in food safety governance. Conventional recall management is increasingly challenged by globalised sourcing, rapid distribution, e-commerce, multi-ingredient products, outsourced processing, fragmented traceability records, and uneven information sharing among actors. Weak risk signals may appear in laboratory data, consumer complaints, inspection findings, supplier records, online reports, or public health surveillance before they are recognised as recall-relevant evidence. When these signals remain disconnected, recall decisions may occur only after risk propagation has already widened. This article proposes a conceptual model for intelligent food recall systems that integrates early detection, risk signal fusion, network propagation mapping, coordinated response, accountability, and communication feedback. The model reframes recall management as a system intelligence problem rather than a narrow compliance, logistics, or product-removal task. It explains how anticipatory analytics and network-aware decision support can strengthen recall scope definition, actor alignment, and public communication. The contribution of the article is a structured conceptual framework for designing recall systems that are more anticipatory, traceable, coordinated, accountable, and adaptive. The model does not report new empirical data; rather, it synthesises food safety, artificial intelligence, supply-chain traceability, risk communication, and crisis-response perspectives into an integrated recall intelligence architecture. It offers a foundation for future empirical testing, digital system design, regulatory innovation, and food-industry implementation.
Journal of Intelligent Agriculture and Food Systems
Original Research | Open access | 15 September 2025 | Article: 26

Platform Governance in Smart Farming: A Conceptual Model of Data Power, Dependency, Value Creation, and Farmer Autonomy
Smart farming increasingly operates through digital platforms that connect farm machinery, sensors, remote-sensing services, advisory systems, agricultural inputs, data analytics, and decision-support applications. Although these arrangements may improve coordination and service integration, their governance implications cannot be evaluated through technological functionality or productivity expectations alone. This article develops an original conceptual model for examining platform governance in smart farming as a socio-technical problem involving data power, platform dependency, value creation, value capture, farmer autonomy, and accountability. The model begins with platform ecosystem mapping, actor identification, and agricultural data-flow analysis. It then assesses how data access, control, portability, interoperability, asymmetry, algorithmic influence, switching costs, and service bundling may shape dependency relationships. A parallel value pathway distinguishes ecosystem value creation from value capture and distribution among farmers, platform operators, technology providers, advisers, suppliers, complementors, cooperatives, and public institutions. Farmer autonomy is examined through decision rights, informed participation, practical agency, human oversight, trust, digital inclusion, and access to contestation and remedy. The model further links identified risks to governance mechanisms such as data stewardship, transparency, auditability, interoperability requirements, participatory governance, farmer representation, accountability structures, and dispute resolution. Its main contribution is a structured framework for evaluating smart farming platforms through power, dependency, distribution, and agency rather than platform performance alone. The model supports conceptual analysis and research design but requires contextual implementation and empirical validation.
Journal of Smart Farming, Precision Agriculture and Data Science
Original Research | Open access | 25 May 2025 | Article: 87

Multi-Stakeholder Value Creation in Smart Farming Ecosystems: A Conceptual Model for Data-Driven Agricultural Innovation
Smart farming increasingly operates through interconnected socio-technical ecosystems rather than through isolated technologies deployed at farm level. These ecosystems involve farmers, advisors, technology and platform providers, data intermediaries, equipment and input suppliers, cooperatives, public institutions, research and extension organizations, and agri-food supply-chain actors. This article develops a conceptual ecosystem model for examining how these stakeholders contribute to data-driven agricultural innovation and how value may be created, captured, and distributed through their interactions. The model-building approach integrates stakeholder roles, multidirectional data and knowledge flows, analytics and advisory services, platform coordination, institutional support, co-production, and co-innovation. It distinguishes farmer value, platform value, supply-chain value, public value, knowledge value, and sustainability value while treating value capture and distribution as separate analytical questions. Governance dimensions include data access, control, sharing, interoperability, portability, stewardship, transparency, accountability, trust, participation, digital inclusion, dependency, and power imbalance. The principal contribution is a structured framework that connects innovation processes with governance and distributional boundaries rather than assuming that technological deployment automatically produces shared value or farmer benefit. The model is intended to support conceptual analysis, stakeholder dialogue, and future empirical research. It does not establish the effectiveness, fairness, policy suitability, commercial viability, or implementation readiness of any particular smart farming ecosystem.
Journal of Smart Farming, Precision Agriculture and Data Science
Original Research | Open access | 25 November 2025 | Article: 94