TY - JOUR
T1 - AI for Agri-Food Resilience under Compound Crises: A Conceptual Model Linking Climate Shocks, Supply Disruptions, Farmer Adaptation, and Food Security Governance
AU - Burcu Aydin
AU - Emre Kaya
JF - Journal of Intelligent Agriculture and Food Systems
Y1 - 2026
VL - 5
IS - 1
SP - 45
N2 - Agri-food systems increasingly operate under compound crises in which climate shocks, supply disruptions, market instability, ecological stress, and social vulnerability interact. These crises do not affect production, distribution, livelihoods, and food access in isolation. They move through connected risk pathways that can destabilise farms, supply chains, public institutions, and households at the same time. Artificial intelligence can support prediction, monitoring, early warning, and decision support in these contexts. However, technical forecasting alone does not constitute resilience when risks cascade across multiple domains. Agri-food resilience requires that predictive information be translated into adaptive decisions, coordinated response, and food security protection. This article develops a conceptual model of AI-supported agri-food resilience under compound crises. The model links climate shocks, supply disruptions, farmer adaptation, and food security governance as interacting domains. It treats AI as a decision-support function embedded within social, institutional, ecological, and market systems rather than as a stand-alone technological solution. The model identifies resilience mechanisms that connect risk detection, signal integration, uncertainty communication, adaptive decision support, institutional coordination, feedback learning, and accountability. It also clarifies boundary conditions that determine whether AI strengthens or weakens resilience. These include data quality, interpretability, local relevance, farmer participation, institutional response capacity, equity, and governance accountability. The article contributes a structured conceptual model for understanding how AI can support agri-food resilience when analytics are aligned with adaptation needs and food security objectives. It argues that resilient agri-food AI systems must connect prediction with human judgement, local knowledge, public action, and accountable coordination. The proposed model offers a basis for future empirical testing, policy design, and responsible innovation in crisis-sensitive food systems.
UR - https://airpublications.com/c568067619
ER -